Vietnam is likely to remain the fastest-growing ASEAN economy in 2018 and 2019, as in 2017, stated a new report released by Standard Chartered.



According to Standard Chartered, Vietnam's manufacturing sector is expected to see a second consecutive year of double-digit growth this year.

The Vietnam Economic Times quoted the report, entitled "Vietnam - Fast, not furious, growth,” by the British multinational banking and financial services company, forecasting robust GDP growth for Vietnam at 7% in 2018 and 6.9% next year, driven by strong FDI-supported electronics manufacturing and rising consumption.

Manufacturing and agriculture are likely to remain the primary growth drivers in the second half of the year, the report added.

Chidu Narayanan, economist for Asia at Standard Chartered Bank, said that Vietnam expanded by 7.1% in H1, moderating mildly in Q2 after a record 7.4% year-on-year growth in Q1, in line with the bank’s forecast.

"This is the first year since the global financial crisis that Q2 growth has been slower than Q1. We believe this is a sign of a focus on sustainable growth over the medium term. We expect H2 growth to remain robust, albeit mildly slower than in H1,” Narayanan said, adding that the bank remains positive on Vietnam’s growth in the medium term based on strong manufacturing activity, as FDI inflows to electronics manufacturing remain strong.

According to the latest report, manufacturing is predicted to record another year of double-digit growth and agriculture growth will continue its recovery in the second half, even as construction slows down due to more modest growth in the real estate sector.

Meanwhile, electronics export growth in 2018 is likely to remain robust, though lower than last year, leading to a trade surplus and supporting the overall growth of Vietnam.

The bank maintains its view that FDI inflows into Vietnam will stay strong in 2018 and the next two years, with a registered capital of US$17 billion each year. FDI inflows to the manufacturing sector, particularly electronics manufacturing, will remain high in the medium term.

The macro-economic report also expects steady growth in services to support overall growth in 2018, led by strong domestic trading activity. The services sector, which makes up close to 40% of the economy, is expected to grow strongly in the second half, after rising by a steady 7% year-on-year in the first half.

The rise of the business process outsourcing (BPO) sector, aided by a young, well-trained and low-cost workforce, will accelerate the growth of the service sector in the medium term, the document stated.


Source: NDO

Related Topics


Yen Tri commune plans to turn medicinal herbs into OCOP products

Maximizing local potential and advantages, Yen Tri commune in Yen Thuy district is actively promoting the cultivation of medicinal herbs and turning medicinal herbs into One Commune - One Product (OCOP) products.

Hoa Binh promotes overseas, domestic employment opportunities

Situated at the gateway to the Northwest, Hoa Binh province has a population of over 900,000, including about 540,000 of working age. It is home to 6,000 businesses and production facilities, providing employment for over 100,000 workers. The remaining workforce is engaged in informal jobs, works in enterprises outside the province, or contributes to agro-forestry-fisheries. Additionally, around 3,000 workers are employed abroad.

Department of Home Affairs, Hoa Binh city top PAR, SIPAS indices

The Hoa Binh provincial People's Committee has issued Decision No. 2767/QD-UBND announcing the rankings of departments, agencies, districts and Hoa Binh city in the Public Administration Reform Index (PAR) and the Satisfaction Index of Public Administration Services (SIPAS) in 2024.

Mai Chau district expands farming of Dam Xanh fish

The cultivation of Dam Xanh fish (Bangana lemassoni), a unique fish species, has seen remarkable growth in Mai Chau district, thanks to its high economic value and effectiveness. Initially concentrated in Van Mai commune, farming has now extended to four other communes, namely Mai Hich, Mai Ha, Chieng Chau, and Son Thuy. These areas benefit from pristine underground water flowing from mountain crevices, providing ideal conditions for raising this specialty fish.

Hoa Binh province: The total state budget revenue in 2024 is estimated at approximately VND 6,930 billion

In 2024, the total state budget revenue of Hoa Binh Province is estimated at approximately VND 6,930 billion, achieving 183% of the Government’s target, 126% of the target assigned by the Provincial People's Council, and 145% compared to the same period last year.

Hoa Binh province - prosperity attracting investment

In 2024, Hoa Binh province has shown signs of improvement in attracting investment and developing enterprises.