|
|
In its
newly-released Global Economic Prospects report, the World Bank said the
outlook for the global economy "has darkened" as global financing
conditions have tightened, trade tensions "have intensified," and
some large emerging market and developing economies have experienced
significant financial market stress.
"Faced
with these headwinds, the recovery in emerging market and developing
economies has lost momentum," the report said, expecting emerging market
and developing economies to grow at 4.2 percent in 2019, 0.5 percentage
points lower than previously projected in June.
Growth in
advanced economies is estimated to slow to 2 percent in 2019 from 2.2 percent
in 2018, as major central banks continue to withdraw monetary policy
accommodation, according to the report.
"Downside
risks have become more acute and include the possibility of disorderly
financial market movements and an escalation of trade disputes," the
report said, warning that intensifying trade tensions could result in weaker
global growth and disrupt globally interconnected value chains.
The report
estimated that China's economic growth will slow to 6.2 percent in 2019 from
6.5 percent in 2018 as domestic and external rebalancing continue.
"Authorities
in China have shifted to looser monetary and fiscal policies in response to a
more challenging external environment...these policy steps are expected to
largely offset the direct negative impact of higher tariffs on China's
exports," the report said.
"At
the beginning of 2018 the global economy was firing on all cylinders, but it
lost speed during the year and the ride could get even bumpier in the year
ahead," World Bank Chief Executive Officer Kristalina Georgieva said in
a statement.
"As
economic and financial headwinds intensify for emerging and developing
countries, the world' s progress in reducing extreme poverty could be
jeopardized," she said.
The report
suggested that the "most urgent priority" for policymakers in
emerging market and developing economies is to "prepare for possible
bouts of financial market stress and rebuild macroeconomic policy buffers as
appropriate."
"Equally
critically, policymakers need to foster stronger potential growth by boosting
human capital, removing barriers to investments, and promoting trade
integration within a rules-based multilateral system," the report said.
|
Source: NDO